Seattle Mariners vs Tampa Bay Rays Prediction MLB Picks 6/24/24 (2024)

Rays are Catching Fire

The Tampa Bay Rays are 38-40 this season and they have won five of their last seven games. Tampa Bay is coming off of a series win against Pittsburgh, where they won two out of three games. Prior to that series, the Rays won two out of three against the Twins, lost two out of three against the Braves, and won two out of three against the Cubs. Tampa Bay is 7-5 in their last 12 games and they are fourth in the AL East.

The Tampa Bay pitching staff has a 4.38 ERA, a 1.27 WHIP, and a .249 opponent batting average. The Rays offense has scored 311 runs with a .235 batting average and a .309 on base percentage. Isaac Paredes is batting .280 with 11 home runs and 39 RBI’s for the Rays this season. Tampa Bay has allowed three runs or fewer in three of their last five games.

Starting Pitchers

The projected starting pitcher for Seattle is Bryan Woo, who is 3-1 with a 1.67 ERA and a 0.61 WHIP over 37.2 innings pitched this year. Woo has allowed no earned runs in three of his last five starts. The projected starting pitcher for Tampa Bay is Taj Bradley, who is 2-4 with a 4.06 ERA and a 1.15 WHIP over 44.1 innings pitched this season. Bradley has allowed two earned runs or fewer in three straight starts and has only allowed three earned runs in those three outings.

Why the Seattle Mariners will beat the Tampa Bay Rays

• The Rays have lost eight of their last nine home games against teams that held a winning record.
• The Mariners have won seven of their last eight games against American League opponents that held a losing record.
• The Rays have failed to cover the run line in each of their last seven home games against American League opponents.
• The Mariners have covered the run line in each of their last six Monday games against the Rays.

Total Runs Facts

• Eight of the Mariners' last nine road games have gone OVER the total runs line.
• Four of the Rays' last five games as underdogs against AL West opponents have gone OVER the total runs line.
• The 'Inning 1 OVER 0.5 runs' market has hit in each of the Mariners' last five road games.
• The 'Inning 1 UNDER 0.5 runs' market has hit in each of the Rays' last three games at Tropicana Field.

Tampa Bay Rays Player Prop Facts

• Yandy Diaz has hit a home run in two of the Rays' last three games as underdogs.
• Yandy Diaz has recorded at least one RBI in each of the Rays' last four games as underdogs.
• Yandy Diaz has recorded two or more total bases in each of the Rays' last eight games as home underdogs against AL opponents.
• Yandy Diaz has recorded at least one Single in each of the Rays' last seven home games.
• Yandy Diaz has recorded at least one hit in each of the Rays' last 16 games.
• Amed Rosario has scored at least one run in four of his last five appearances against AL West opponents.

Seattle Mariners Player Prop Facts

• J.P. Crawford has hit a home run in three of the Mariners' last five road games against AL opponents.
• Mitch Garver has recorded at least one RBI in each of his last three appearances in night games.
• J.P. Crawford has scored at least one run in each of his last eight Monday night appearances against teams that held a losing record.
• J.P. Crawford has recorded a Single in each of the Mariners' last six games as road favorites.
• J.P. Crawford has recorded a hit in each of the Mariners' last seven road games against opponents that held a losing record.
• J.P. Crawford has recorded at least one total base in each of the Mariners' last seven road games against opponents that held a losing record.
• Jorge Polanco has recorded a Double in three of his last four appearances with his team as a favorite against the Rays.

Seattle Mariners vs Tampa Bay Rays Prediction

Tampa Bay comes into this series two games under .500, but they have played very well over the last week. The Rays are 19-23 at home, while the Mariners are 18-23 on the road. The Mariners have struggled a little bit recently, but they are still controlling the AL West standings. Seattle is going with Bryan Woo, who has been dominant so far this year. Taj Bradley has been very good in his last three starts for Tampa Bay, but I am going to back Woo here. My Seattle Mariners vs Tampa Bay Rays prediction is for Seattle to win.